Tuesday 20 March 2012

The Iranian-Israeli two-step


The Persians and the Jews have always had a volatile relationship. From Nebuchadnezzar's sack of Jerusalem and the forced exile of the Jewish people to Babylon in 586BC, to the fiery rhetoric of present day Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad -- the nearly 3000 year old rivalry continues even to this day.

You'd figure that time would have cooled the flames between these former powers. So what's all the kerffufle about?

Depends what government you ask. The Iranian diplomat will surely blame the illegitimate "Zionist Entity" for all the trouble. His Israeli counterpart will probably accuse the Iranian of supporting terrorism and meddling in the Middle East peace process.

And then there's me. I see the Iran's refusal to acknowledge Israel's existence as sort of the ostrich head in the sand deal. Even though the Islamic Republic's predecessor -- the Pahlavi dynasty (as personified by the Shah) -- was the first Muslim country to recognize Israel's existence, the ire of a specifically tailored Jewish homeland in what was viewed as historically Muslim Palestine was just too much for the new Islamic state to bear.

Sure there's those half-hearted comments by Khamenei and his minions calling for Israel to be wiped off the map; the Gaza-bound ships full of rockets and ammo intercepted by the Israeli Navy or the $400 million given to the terrorist group Hezbollah -- but deep down inside I'm pretty sure the Iranian regime doesn't really mean any of it.

And what about the good old days when Hebrew and Persian alike communed in the great halls of the Persian kings? Despite the Persian decimation of ancient Palestine and enslavement of its population in Babylon, the Jews eventually established a thriving community there.

Thanks to the likes of Daniel and Queen Esther, the Jews eventually won their rights as citizens there, including the right to self-protection and the right to emigrate back to the beloved city Jerusalem. The Torah books of Ezra and Nehemiah attest to this return. These rights were codified into ancient Persian law by Cyrus king of Persia, and a remnant of these Jews still live in Persia (Iran) to this day.

But the recent discontent with Israel is a curious one. While it is true that Iran is a Islamic Republic, it is not an Arab one. Israel's two geographically closest neighbours, Egypt and Jordan, are also both Muslim countries (and Arab), yet they have made peace with their Jewish Abrahamic brother.

So it appears that the row between Israel and Iran is not a nationalistic one, but a recent religious conflict. This is further highlighted by Iran's brazen support for Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza, who also share a radical Islamic view of eradicating the infidel from what it views as occupied Muslim land.

And so the threats and accusations fly. The Iranian regime secretly arms its regional allies in their anti-Zionist resistance movements, and in response Israel blows up some Iranian nuclear scientist driving to work. Both nations deny any complicity in these covert actions, and both profess their innocence. But eventually things are sure to conflagrate.

The risks of Iran or Israel miscalculating and overreacting to the other's next move cannot be understated. The media bears constant witness to the international bluffing game between the two contestants – the Israeli air force flying practice bombing missions to show off its long-range strike capability; Iran testing out its short-range ballistic missiles only to be trumped by Israeli anti-ballistic missile tests; Israeli submarines deploying to the Red Sea only to be trumped by Iranian warships crossing through the Suez canal -- on and on the sabre rattling goes.

Israel fears a belligerent nuclear armed Iran, while Iran is angered by the ongoing Israeli “colonisation and discrimination” of their Palestinian Muslim brothers. It's a bit like two ants fighting over a dropped crumb of bread, all the while oblivious to the ant eater hungrily eyeing them from above. In the high stakes game of nuclear power versus wanna-be nuclear power, it is likely that the deeply ingrained ideological and religious beliefs of both sides will be the kindling for a future, horrible conflict.

But on the bright side, there's always room for improvement. Once upon a time these two enemies became friends, likely because they cohabited a common space (Babylon) and shared a common fate. They also benefited from the actions of a few wise leaders who took the courageous step of setting aside their differences.

Without moderate and realistic diplomacy, the Persian-Jewish two-step will continue its futile death dance. Israel will not disappear (unless made to by means of overwhelming and excessive force), and it is unlikely that Israel will ever remit its identity as a Jewish-majority nation. So the compromise that will usher in peace in this region will likely have to involve an accommodation of these two factors.

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